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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5b624e3E0426F7AA2Ca57F7451fbcEa4b125D87f-1769796221989RN100gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)51% (4855–4573, n=9428)47% (13858–15341, n=29199)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL-$47K$13.4M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #895PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus57% (16 of 28 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position91% (148 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +62 pts n=431, ROI +64%
  • MLB +49 pts n=912, ROI +49%
  • NBA +48 pts n=296, ROI +46%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3958 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 99% of 177)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 1483)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 1591)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 100% of 707)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.