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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)40% (1302–1938, n=3240)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)50% (20646–20453, n=41099)
Consensus PnL-$20K$7.9M$3.6M$3.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #920PM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus30% (3 of 10 open)88% (22 of 25 open)75% (119 of 158 open)68% (30 of 44 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicMentions −1 pts, n=17—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won26% of 1266 at avg 22¢, ROI 0%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢71% (won 7% of 899)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 60% of 152)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 147)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up5% (won 85% of 68)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5e83c9db1593a9113fffa791797cf9655b383bb7BreakTheBankFlaznorpUpTheBlues
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.2KYes $757
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $19—No $848—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $596Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $702Over $5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $10—No $604—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Athletic Club $354
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20—No $536—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $139No $249
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $15—No $359—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Athletic Club $215
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $132Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $13KUnder $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $494No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——No $4.4KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
——No $3.1KNo $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KUnder $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.6KNo $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $354Under $840
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.0KYes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $337Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.1KOver $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $361Under $595
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127CD Pamplona $6