Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009BreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)40% (4–6, n=10)45% (547–663, n=1210)47% (14178–15785, n=29963)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL-$319$11.0M$14.8M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #777PM monthly #1PM monthly #18 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus25% (2 of 8 open)85% (160 of 189 open)51% (18 of 35 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 1 at avg 77¢, ROI +23%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 79% of 58)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 200)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 99% of 194)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009BreakTheBankRN1sainttroplay
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $184K——