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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6528e4dfAE95B1a096C3ccE287Fb44C96C802006-1790896469009beachboy4Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)25% (7–21, n=28)no settled market52% (6473–6009, n=12482)63% (989–572, n=1561)
Consensus PnL-$556—$3.6M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #777—PM monthly #19PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensus14% (1 of 7 open)no open consensus position73% (102 of 140 open)69% (61 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won50% of 2 at avg 42¢, ROI 0%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 0% of 1)—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢0%—16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢0%—16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 1)—39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.