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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (319–266, n=585)52% (6451–6050, n=12501)63% (992–576, n=1568)48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL-$188K$3.6M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #938PM monthly #10PM monthly #96PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)73% (126 of 173 open)69% (52 of 75 open)59% (24 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=124Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won49% of 437 at avg 49¢, ROI −5%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 16% of 64)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 51% of 137)16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 54% of 197)16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 74% of 39)39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x68234mjhgfvj8612543ytjsa6187235v81283Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $354—Over $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Maccabi Petah Tikva FC
—Maccabi Petah Tikva FC $973—Maccabi Tel Aviv FC $52
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $685
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $101—Under $620
Exact Score: Madura United 2 - 0 Arema FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $95—Yes $2
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
opposite sides · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
—Noma Noha Akugue $82—Justina Mikulskyte $3
Luanda: Sofya Lansere vs Martyna Kubka
same side · consensus Sofya Lansere
—Sofya Lansere $3.4K—Sofya Lansere $39K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Madura United win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.5K—Yes $6.6K
Chennai Open: Robin Montgomery vs Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi
same side · consensus Robin Montgomery
—Robin Montgomery $5.5K—Robin Montgomery $690
Will Maccabi Petah Tikva FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.9K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.0K—Under $695
Will Madura United vs. Arema FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $2.1K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.0K—Under $1.1K
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Under $87
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $717
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Bratislava 2: Matej Dodig vs Laslo Djere
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
—Matej Dodig $993—Matej Dodig $608
Maccabi Tel Aviv FC vs. Maccabi Petah Tikva FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.3K—No $2
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42