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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)28% (5–13, n=18)75% (743–249, n=992)45% (198–245, n=443)
Consensus PnL$16K$70K$10K
Tracked asPM monthly #566PM monthly #14PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (89 of 130 open)75% (9 of 12 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 39¢, ROI +67%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 100% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)6% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 2)27% (won 45% of 56)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 100% of 1)13% (won 68% of 28)50% (won 100% of 68)
Entries 70¢ and up0%29% (won 97% of 61)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6982049c65e98606f65A0CE71fDb9b61296dA165-1777135114945Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $641Lakers $9.5K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $359Lakers $3.4K
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
opposite sides · consensus Elina Svitolina
—Karolina Muchova $2.3KElina Svitolina $447
Monastir: Aziz Dougaz vs Alejandro Moro Canas
opposite sides · consensus Alejandro Moro Canas
—Alejandro Moro Canas $1.2KAziz Dougaz $413