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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354beachboy4sainttroplayjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)37% (294–499, n=793)68% (43–20, n=63)71% (10–4, n=14)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$58K$5.8M$4.4M$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #18was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #11PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus57% (12 of 21 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicElections −2 pts, n=206NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won64% of 1297 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 2% of 445)3% (won 17% of 6)0%12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 56% of 25)30% (won 57% of 63)50% (won 100% of 5)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 72% of 39)54% (won 51% of 115)50% (won 100% of 5)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up61% (won 99% of 788)14% (won 86% of 29)0%18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.