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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (14227–15735, n=29962)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #51PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (16 of 24 open)56% (85 of 151 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 418)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 504)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x69f0C154a3412F2b3Fa7eB22c6d08E6B5B32FB27-1778811502354primmRN1
Spread: South Florida (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus South Florida
—South Florida $3.7KEast Carolina $2.6K
Spread: South Florida (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $213East Carolina $3.2K
Spread: Nebraska (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $2.0KIllinois $337
South Florida vs. East Carolina: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $508Over $1.4K
Spread: South Florida (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus East Carolina
—South Florida $262East Carolina $777
Spread: SMU (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $381SMU $274
Spread: SMU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus SMU
—Virginia Tech $226SMU $79
Spread: SMU (-6.5)
same side · consensus SMU
—SMU $3.4KSMU $692
Spread: Nebraska (-7.5)
same side · consensus Illinois
—Nebraska $2.0KNebraska $9
Spread: SMU (-7.5)
same side · consensus Virginia Tech
—Virginia Tech $5Virginia Tech $1.5K
Virginia Tech vs. SMU: O/U 55.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $20Over $1.3K
Spread: SMU (-4.5)
same side · consensus SMU
—SMU $3SMU $83