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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69ndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (989–572, n=1561)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)
Consensus PnL—$3.2M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #90PM monthly #49PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (58 of 86 open)56% (5 of 9 open)56% (43 of 77 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 58% of 314)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69ndb1primmRN1
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $4Jaguars $2.2K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $1.8KOver $180
Spread: James Madison (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss
——James Madison $1.5KSouthern Miss $412
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $690Under $423
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 57.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $647Over $382
Spread: Jaguars (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Ravens $750Jaguars $151