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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8Bb006d1bB8b1C5735DA79E81637e3dad6E3ca79-1768601841360RN1sainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (125–80, n=205)47% (13855–15338, n=29193)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$67K$13.4M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #795PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus50% (1 of 2 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position88% (130 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=14, ROI +45%
  • Soccer +31 pts n=52, ROI +37%
  • NBA +28 pts n=59, ROI +24%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −8 pts, n=18———
Settled positions, side won68% of 213 at avg 45¢, ROI +16%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 23% of 40)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 70% of 57)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 83% of 107)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up4% (won 78% of 9)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.