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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 54% (25–21, n=46) | 54% (268–231, n=499) | 58% (7–5, n=12) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.0K | $737K | $278K | $248K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #961 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #64 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 68% (50 of 73 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8ae599cc1fdeb17c95e2af00bd75a38034bd4f22 | BreakTheBank | HomeRunHazard | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $689 | Thunder $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $138 | Thunder $3.6K | — |