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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22fBreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)55% (106–86, n=192)41% (616–869, n=1485)63% (1101–635, n=1736)
Consensus PnL$25K$8.4M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #851PM monthly #1PM monthly #109
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (29 of 33 open)71% (67 of 95 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topicTennis −14 pts, n=25—NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won35% of 57 at avg 46¢, ROI −4%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢26% (won 13% of 15)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢14% (won 38% of 8)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 37% of 30)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8e83fae02e603cc2860638315f1c161fde5ab22fBreakTheBankndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $427KNo $351K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $308KYes $12K