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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8efa1ea8ee2d456a051ae2985079a1e3c9aa894cFlaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market74% (424–151, n=575)no settled market68% (303–140, n=443)
Consensus PnL—$46K—-$55K
Tracked as—PM monthly #20PM monthly #158PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (46 of 63 open)no open consensus position100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won—44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—34% (won 10% of 30)19% (won 10% of 96)1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 29% of 17)21% (won 35% of 105)26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢—13% (won 55% of 11)27% (won 54% of 132)40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up—34% (won 83% of 30)33% (won 91% of 163)33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8efa1ea8ee2d456a051ae2985079a1e3c9aa894cFlaznorpndb1RN1
Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Dino Prizmic
same side · consensus Otto Virtanen
—Otto Virtanen $474—Otto Virtanen $4.5K