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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10BreakTheBankjoseph00677keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)no settled market43% (111–149, n=260)
Consensus PnL—$779K—$282K
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus position47% (8 of 17 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +50 pts n=74, ROI +51%
  • Tennis +52 pts n=18, ROI +60%
  • Soccer +43 pts n=28, ROI +44%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%100% of 151 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)8% (won 0% of 1)6% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)8% (won 0% of 1)42% (won 100% of 63)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)40% (won 100% of 61)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)15% (won 100% of 2)12% (won 100% of 18)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.