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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$5.6M$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #1PM monthly #146
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (12 of 21 open)no open consensus position74% (35 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $642K—No $234K