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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10beachboy4BreakTheBanksainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)39% (1266–1967, n=3233)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (547–663, n=1210)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$53K$5.9M$11.0M$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #975was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)100% (2 of 2 open)85% (160 of 189 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93——
Settled positions, side won37% of 2119 at avg 37¢, ROI 0%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢48% (won 17% of 1023)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 79% of 58)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 39% of 536)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 200)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 60% of 345)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 194)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up10% (won 86% of 215)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.