Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8f8883ecf250d19cef876e6be32188b27f2bca10beachboy4Flaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market52% (6450–5961, n=12411)65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL——$3.3M$4.8M
Tracked as——PM monthly #24PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position74% (141 of 191 open)70% (107 of 152 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won——56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢——29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢——16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢——17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up——38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.