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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382beachboy4joseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)45% (7948–9685, n=17633)68% (43–20, n=63)53% (10–9, n=19)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL-$56K$5.8M$5.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #790was PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus49% (26 of 53 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position68% (48 of 71 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93—NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won46% of 13139 at avg 45¢, ROI 0%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 16% of 3994)3% (won 17% of 6)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 42% of 4476)30% (won 57% of 63)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 60% of 1929)54% (won 51% of 115)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up21% (won 87% of 2740)14% (won 86% of 29)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382beachboy4joseph00677ndb1
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $337——Yes $2.7K
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-11-02?
same side · consensus Yes
No $116——No $111K