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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (2560–2549, n=5109) | 45% (547–663, n=1210) | 47% (14225–15839, n=30064) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $329K | $11.0M | $14.8M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #331 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #18 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 83% (156 of 189 open) | 61% (38 of 62 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | MLB −1 pts, n=2336 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 50% of 4559 at avg 50¢, ROI +1% | 97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 13% of 518) | 10% (won 79% of 58) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 40% (won 38% of 1836) | 36% (won 98% of 200) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 63% of 1594) | 35% (won 99% of 194) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 13% (won 83% of 611) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9b11866433281ade9f2811dbde8acdefc45f5375 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Eala same side · consensus Alexandra Eala | Alexandra Eala $2.4K | — | Alexandra Eala $782 | — |