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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (41–0, n=41) | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 76% (821–266, n=1087) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$82 | $822K | $128K | $4 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #29 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #152 |
| Sides with the consensus | 87% (241 of 278 open) | 40% (2 of 5 open) | 70% (130 of 186 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | Weather −5 pts, n=42 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 119 at avg 71¢, ROI −21% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 6% of 34) | 0% | 31% (won 9% of 66) | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 26% (won 45% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 50% of 2) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 14% (won 69% of 29) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 69% (won 100% of 82) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 29% (won 97% of 63) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-11-12? opposite sides · consensus No | No $35 | — | Yes $96 | — |
| Will Sparta Prague win on 2026-11-11? opposite sides · consensus No | No $68 | — | Yes $16 | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FK Austria Wien end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $572 | — | No $3.8K | — |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-22? same side · consensus No | No $2 | — | No $1.9K | — |
| Will SCU Torreense vs. Sparta Prague end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $68 | — | No $1.4K | — |
| Will the Republicans win Minnesota in the 2028 Presidential Election? same side · consensus No | No $16 | — | — | No $150 |