Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x9b129aD05Bc0a8df3C73DfCC66fE75252DaEC2D5-1778811687225beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)31% (496–1086, n=1582)no settled market52% (6582–6102, n=12684)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$98K—$3.6M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #32—PM monthly #10PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus58% (34 of 59 open)no open consensus position76% (83 of 109 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=719—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won56% of 4852 at avg 56¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢41% (won 2% of 1998)—29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 42% of 136)—16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢4% (won 71% of 189)—16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up52% (won 98% of 2529)—39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.