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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)97% (23544–796, n=24340)45% (547–663, n=1210)
Consensus PnL$304K$11.0M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #645PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus90% (9 of 10 open)68% (77 of 114 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +2 pts n=8617, ROI +1%
  • NHL +2 pts n=201, ROI +2%
  • NBA +2 pts n=251, ROI +2%
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −1 pts, n=410—
Settled positions, side won98% of 15321 at avg 97¢, ROI +1%97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 22% of 46)10% (won 81% of 57)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 52% of 86)36% (won 98% of 201)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 84% of 186)35% (won 99% of 196)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 99% of 15003)19% (won 100% of 109)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.