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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (495–320, n=815)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$4.8M$5.8M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #51was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)100% (2 of 2 open)90% (146 of 163 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=115NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 29% of 125)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢34% (won 58% of 283)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢43% (won 69% of 354)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 80% of 60)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.