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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xD487f513cfeAD22d76B6db4567c756b3Cf250Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)98% (4294–107, n=4401)55% (13343–10705, n=24048)43% (10–13, n=23)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL-$15K$1.4M$3.2M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #837PM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (80 of 120 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −6 pts, n=13NFL −24 pts, n=12—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won98% of 4309 at avg 97¢, ROI 0%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 0% of 7)30% (won 9% of 919)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 31% of 16)15% (won 37% of 455)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 53% of 36)14% (won 63% of 439)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 4250)42% (won 94% of 1302)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.