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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xDd9D902e3Cdaf7eE29Eff1Dd2902DcB40741b730-1772597907584RN1sainttroplaysurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)62% (189–114, n=303)47% (13860–15341, n=29201)71% (10–4, n=14)52% (273–252, n=525)
Consensus PnL$93K$13.4M$4.4M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #324PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +36 pts n=21, ROI +30%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=87, ROI +15%
  • MMA +21 pts n=39, ROI +11%
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topic———NFL −11 pts, n=58
Settled positions, side won77% of 243 at avg 53¢, ROI +14%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 75% of 4)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%20% (won 12% of 109)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 77% of 91)22% (won 94% of 5518)50% (won 100% of 5)21% (won 46% of 114)
Entries 50–70¢52% (won 74% of 126)36% (won 99% of 8928)50% (won 100% of 5)33% (won 60% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up9% (won 91% of 22)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%26% (won 82% of 137)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.