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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-177642921059200gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (894–623, n=1517)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$930K$3.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #219was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)53% (57 of 108 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 918 at avg 59¢, ROI +42%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 15)0%10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 98% of 155)0%36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 99% of 581)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 100% of 167)0%20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-177642921059200gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161