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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa2dCcd83971D56fb4e7cE45C491a968b29a249f9-1771568307503CORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Record (consensus markets)73% (37–14, n=51)62% (395–247, n=642)45% (542–652, n=1194)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$25K$4.5M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #994PM monthly #68PM monthly #1was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus33% (2 of 6 open)100% (1 of 1 open)90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won88% of 41 at avg 58¢, ROI +10%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 29% of 7)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 82% of 56)0%
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 100% of 3)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 198)0%
Entries 50–70¢37% (won 100% of 15)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 191)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 100% of 16)2% (won 100% of 7)19% (won 100% of 107)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa2dCcd83971D56fb4e7cE45C491a968b29a249f9-1771568307503CORGIIBreakTheBank00gringo00
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5—No $114K—