Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)92% (3725–317, n=4042)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$89K$3.3M$5.3M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #624PM monthly #24PM monthly #2PM monthly #103
Sides with the consensus57% (4 of 7 open)73% (188 of 257 open)no open consensus position68% (105 of 154 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +44 pts n=81, ROI +45%
  • NBA +40 pts n=350, ROI −2%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=521, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won100% of 1014 at avg 62¢, ROI +19%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 100% of 78)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 100% of 233)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 100% of 297)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 100% of 406)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1
Taranto: Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Hugo Grenier $33Sumit Nagal $4.3K——
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Anastasia Zakharova $17Anastasia Zakharova $11K——
Taranto: Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
same side · consensus Maxim Mrva
Maxim Mrva $34Maxim Mrva $4.7K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $21Sorana Cirstea $3.5K——
Bratislava 2: Tom Gentzsch vs Matej Dodig
same side · consensus Matej Dodig
Matej Dodig $20Matej Dodig $648——