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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb4F978BE63cDF75554b0B46a4262a6dB597cc9A7-1779258330186BreakTheBankbeachboy4joseph00677
Record (consensus markets)49% (486–505, n=991)45% (542–652, n=1194)68% (43–20, n=63)50% (10–10, n=20)
Consensus PnL$257K$10.6M$5.8M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #103PM monthly #1was PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position90% (146 of 163 open)100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +54 pts n=49, ROI +57%
  • NFL +44 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • NBA +45 pts n=56, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won100% of 422 at avg 56¢, ROI +49%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%—
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 21)10% (won 82% of 56)3% (won 17% of 6)—
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 99% of 71)36% (won 98% of 198)29% (won 56% of 62)—
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 100% of 273)35% (won 99% of 191)54% (won 51% of 115)—
Entries 70¢ and up14% (won 100% of 57)19% (won 100% of 107)14% (won 86% of 29)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.