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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbFAB152aFA43741b41BE0f355F862be2630cf067-1779364275266RN100gringo00ndb1
Record (consensus markets)73% (496–181, n=677)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)75% (6–2, n=8)65% (862–456, n=1318)
Consensus PnL$88K$14.8M$3.5M$4.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #751PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #19PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)54% (30 of 56 open)no open consensus position68% (49 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———NFL −10 pts, n=132
Settled positions, side won81% of 639 at avg 68¢, ROI +11%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 6% of 35)10% (won 57% of 2537)0%13% (won 16% of 160)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 53% of 83)22% (won 94% of 5518)0%20% (won 39% of 252)
Entries 50–70¢28% (won 82% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8928)100% (won 86% of 7)24% (won 57% of 306)
Entries 70¢ and up54% (won 94% of 345)32% (won 100% of 7821)0%43% (won 93% of 540)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.