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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xbb299ce4867ea634a83a254e24d1ffc5c148947aFlaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (13298–10666, n=23964)63% (1101–635, n=1736)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL—$1.4M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #14PM monthly #109PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position70% (91 of 130 open)71% (67 of 95 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.