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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)57% (124–92, n=216)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)
Consensus PnL$631$5.8M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensus54% (31 of 57 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Weather +4 pts n=47, ROI +4%
  • Tech +18 pts n=13, ROI −12%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won84% of 106 at avg 73¢, ROI −4%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢14% (won 33% of 15)3% (won 17% of 6)0%
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 57% of 7)29% (won 56% of 62)0%
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 85% of 13)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 97% of 71)14% (won 86% of 29)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.