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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (15211–13084, n=28295) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $356K | $5.3M | $4.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (283 of 442 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 68% (30 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Economy ±0 pts, n=124 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 15164 at avg 37¢, ROI +8% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 11% of 8103) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 59% of 1871) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 89% of 1750) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 98% of 3440) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? same side · consensus No | Yes $381 | — | Yes $379 | — |