Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2Flaznorpndb1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)18% (402–1789, n=2191)55% (13333–10716, n=24049)63% (1100–635, n=1735)75% (2552–856, n=3408)
Consensus PnL$90K$1.4M$4.6M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #401PM monthly #14PM monthly #110PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (33 of 33 open)64% (139 of 218 open)71% (67 of 94 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicMentions −4 pts, n=730NFL −24 pts, n=12NFL −7 pts, n=158Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won32% of 1677 at avg 34¢, ROI +3%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢65% (won 1% of 1097)30% (won 9% of 919)13% (won 14% of 196)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 34% of 35)15% (won 37% of 455)18% (won 40% of 283)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢2% (won 53% of 40)14% (won 63% of 439)23% (won 58% of 348)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 97% of 505)42% (won 94% of 1302)46% (won 94% of 710)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.