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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2beachboy4BreakTheBankjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)23% (406–1397, n=1803)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$89K—$7.9M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #558—PM monthly #3PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus46% (16 of 35 open)no open consensus position81% (26 of 32 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicMentions −3 pts, n=470———
Settled positions, side won37% of 1404 at avg 39¢, ROI +3%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 1% of 832)—11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 35% of 34)—35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 53% of 40)—35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 97% of 498)—20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.