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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)25% (400–1203, n=1603)no settled market50% (1078–1087, n=2165)no settled market
Consensus PnL$101K—$3.5M—
Tracked asPM monthly #532—PM monthly #50—
Sides with the consensus58% (35 of 60 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topicMentions −3 pts, n=470———
Settled positions, side won37% of 1404 at avg 39¢, ROI +3%—99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—
Entries under 30¢59% (won 1% of 832)—5% (won 94% of 51)—
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 35% of 34)—41% (won 99% of 405)—
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 53% of 40)—49% (won 99% of 485)—
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 97% of 498)—5% (won 100% of 46)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.