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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (209–72, n=281)50% (2–2, n=4)45% (193–240, n=433)66% (479–242, n=721)
Consensus PnL$2.6K-$6.1K$26K-$146K
Tracked asPM monthly #950PM monthly #71PM monthly #43PM monthly #44 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position83% (10 of 12 open)100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicCrypto −4 pts, n=100———
Settled positions, side won42% of 100 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 30)0%5% (won 100% of 7)6% (won 100% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 15% of 27)33% (won 67% of 3)38% (won 100% of 51)13% (won 100% of 26)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 71% of 24)56% (won 40% of 5)50% (won 100% of 67)30% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 19)11% (won 100% of 1)7% (won 100% of 9)51% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf3326D8Fc30F7Ed01BfAde12c706cb52c397B1c0-1780211395335gmpm2keeptheblueflagflyinghighRN1
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Sumit Nagal
——Sumit Nagal $7.7KSumit Nagal $3.0K