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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)76% (200–64, n=264)100% (1–0, n=1)no settled market63% (19–11, n=30)
Consensus PnL$2.7K$152K$2$22K
Tracked asPM monthly #975PM monthly #32PM monthly #154PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topicCrypto −4 pts, n=100—NFL −8 pts, n=71—
Settled positions, side won42% of 100 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%100% of 48 at avg 59¢, ROI +40%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢30% (won 7% of 30)2% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 10% of 96)9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢27% (won 15% of 27)25% (won 100% of 12)21% (won 35% of 105)27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 71% of 24)44% (won 100% of 21)27% (won 54% of 132)64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 19)29% (won 100% of 14)33% (won 91% of 163)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.