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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf395A47ED88c8F18dF328680eF0FbBF496E523dD-1786216128620BreakTheBankCORGIIsurfandturf
Record (consensus markets)55% (46–38, n=84)45% (542–652, n=1194)62% (395–247, n=642)54% (225–189, n=414)
Consensus PnL$42K$10.6M$4.5M$9.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #292PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #326
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position88% (130 of 147 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won69% of 67 at avg 48¢, ROI +18%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%—
Entries under 30¢16% (won 45% of 11)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)—
Entries 30–50¢30% (won 70% of 20)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)—
Entries 50–70¢51% (won 74% of 34)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)—
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 100% of 2)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.