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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf5848342fc388908f2d25a9012cc18a0ad193979BreakTheBankndb1
Record (consensus markets)74% (195–69, n=264)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$51K$7.7M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #640PM monthly #1PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position81% (29 of 36 open)74% (74 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won72% of 221 at avg 68¢, ROI +3%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 8% of 40)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 47% of 19)36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 71% of 31)35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 95% of 131)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf5848342fc388908f2d25a9012cc18a0ad193979BreakTheBankndb1
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421KNo $346K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306KYes $12K