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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xfFFF6537Flaznorpjoseph00677S-Works
Record (consensus markets)40% (472–705, n=1177)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)45% (10–12, n=22)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$71K$4.1M$5.3M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #736PM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #74
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (106 of 158 open)no open consensus position67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +14 pts n=11, ROI −9%
  • NHL +8 pts n=16, ROI −5%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicCrypto −5 pts, n=117Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won41% of 189 at avg 44¢, ROI −5%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 12% of 65)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 28% of 60)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 68% of 34)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up16% (won 100% of 30)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.