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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (59–20, n=79) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | $38K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #860 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 92% (11 of 12 open) | 79% (57 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Politics −13 pts, n=20 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 77% of 79 at avg 78¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 25% of 4) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 8% (won 17% of 6) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 78% (won 85% of 62) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $9.4K | No $202K | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $50K | Yes $30K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $18K | Yes $170K | — |