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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHaradwaithjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)35% (3648–6671, n=10319)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)40% (3389–5177, n=8566)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$3.0M$3.3M-$465K$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #431PM monthly #24PM monthly #272PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus78% (14 of 18 open)71% (191 of 270 open)59% (1166 of 1964 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)53% (won 3% of 2055)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 35% of 170)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 54% of 178)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)38% (won 89% of 1442)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpHaradwaithjoseph00677
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen $34KOlympique de Marseille $1.3K——
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Vaishnavi Adkar
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
Vaishnavi Adkar $491Anastasia Zakharova $23K——
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $4.7KToby Samuel $59——
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $134Under $1.1K——
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
Sorana Cirstea $22KSorana Cirstea $28K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.3KUnder $14K——
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
same side · consensus GamerLegion
GamerLegion $508GamerLegion $35——
Nepal Premier League: Kathmandu Gurkhas vs Biratnagar Kings
same side · consensus Kathmandu Gurkhas
Kathmandu Gurkhas $39Kathmandu Gurkhas $12——