Back to Traders
Consensus PnL -$460K · win rate 48% (2404–2567, n=4971) · PM monthly #272 · holds 345 consensus positions
0x21ffd2b7...bca90d71Polymarket
⚖️Arb🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-460.3K
Record
2404W / 2567L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 4971 settled
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1296
Source
PM monthly #272
Record (90 d)
0/0
Trades
0
Markets
19,178
Volume
$1.8M
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Top consensus positions
345 in listed consensus markets · 266 of 345 on the consensus side (77%)- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No $2.5K · now 97¢ · in at 96¢against the consensus (Yes)
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?No $2.3K · now 64¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (63% of 21)
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No $2.2K · now 78¢against the consensus (Yes)
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No $1.7K · now 75¢ · in at 78¢with the consensus (56% of 41)
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No $1.6K · now 87¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (38% of 35)
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No $1.6K · now 82¢ · in at 97¢with the consensus (31% of 34)
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?No $1.5K · now 77¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (45% of 54)
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?No $1.5K · now 76¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (41% of 25)