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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)100% (1–0, n=1)60% (12–8, n=20)71% (5–2, n=7)no settled market
Consensus PnL$599$779K-$22—
Tracked asPM monthly #515PM monthly #1PM monthly #2PM monthly #160
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 1 open)63% (5 of 8 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic——Tech ±0 pts, n=36NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)7% (won 11% of 46)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)1% (won 86% of 7)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)1% (won 75% of 8)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)90% (won 100% of 565)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.