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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 123987456 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 44% (1406–1822, n=3228) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $49K | $4.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #142 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (31 of 45 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (72 of 97 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tech −2 pts, n=199 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 51% of 2820 at avg 49¢, ROI +1% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 43% (won 4% of 1211) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 49% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 67% of 201) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 96% of 1210) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 123987456 | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14 | — | Yes $14K |