Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1denizzfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market57% (34–26, n=60)100% (2–0, n=2)43% (46–60, n=106)
Consensus PnL$4.2K$1.1M$245K$121K
Tracked asPM monthly #938PM monthly #163PM monthly #60PM monthly #38
Sides with the consensus61% (38 of 62 open)89% (24 of 27 open)no open consensus position58% (19 of 33 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won————
Entries under 30¢————
Entries 30–50¢————
Entries 50–70¢————
Entries 70¢ and up————

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market1nvoker1denizzfantasy7788keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $249K——
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.2KNo $7.1K——