Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
1nvoker1gmpm2
Record (consensus markets)no settled market100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$3.6K$256K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #999PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus57% (35 of 61 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicCrypto −8 pts, n=22NBA −17 pts, n=33
Settled positions, side won48% of 571 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%57% of 527 at avg 56¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢43% (won 5% of 246)4% (won 32% of 22)
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 38% of 55)31% (won 45% of 163)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 75% of 69)46% (won 57% of 244)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 201)19% (won 85% of 98)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.