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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
2829BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)46% (462–536, n=998)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL-$36K$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #604PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus75% (3 of 4 open)73% (79 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNHL −15 pts, n=17—
Settled positions, side won56% of 760 at avg 50¢, ROI +1%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 19% of 144)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢28% (won 41% of 213)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 70% of 257)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 89% of 146)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market2829BreakTheBank
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $322Raiders $171K