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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
328.400.fundBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market95% (310–15, n=325)
Consensus PnL$1.7K$8.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #97PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)84% (32 of 38 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won75% of 52 at avg 66¢, ROI +3%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 10% of 10)10% (won 82% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 83% of 6)36% (won 98% of 212)
Entries 50–70¢10% (won 80% of 5)35% (won 100% of 205)
Entries 70¢ and up60% (won 94% of 31)20% (won 100% of 116)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.